Serious
question. If you’re a politics nerd like me, has a negative campaign ad ever
changed your mind in favor of the candidate who ran the ad? Simply, do they
work?
Scientific
American
says they are more memorable but research is inconclusive as to whether they changes
minds. Journalist's
Resource says “such ads
may work to both ‘shrink and polarize the electorate’.”
Sadly,
the Democratic primary run off for the Georgia 7th has turned ugly
over the last three weeks. Until that time, I admired the race for how high
road and issue focused it was. But as next Tuesday’s runoff approaches, the
knives have come out. David argued that Carolyn had served on a budget
committee during the great recession and had to make some tough decisions about
which programs to cut. Which of course means she didn’t care about education.
Carolyn argued that David had not voted prior to running for office. Which of
course means he does not care about all the awful things Trump has said and
done.
The
flyers that have been arriving in the mail over the last week or so over the
last week or so have skewed negative. And it’s the typical nonsense that you
see. The slightly out of focus black and white frame capture of the other
candidate making them look sinister. The
prior public service taken completely out of context. The postcard covered with
pictures of Trump and some of his more vile quotes.
I
gotta say, though, this is negative campaigning on a modest, Democratic primary.
It does not even come close to the mean stupidity we’ve see from our Republican
gubernatorial candidates. No deportation trucks or blowing shit up.
This
diminishes both candidates. And more importantly, from a campaign perspective,
was anybody’s mind changed? Are you more or less likely to show up for the
runoff, which will likely be very low turnout and decided by a small number of
votes? For myself, I’m just a little bit less enthusiastic about showing up. I will no doubt. And after the run off, I’ll support
the winner, knock on doors and vote for them in November. But I’ll be a little
less excited.
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